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Bitcoin Market Cycle

One screen that answers "are we near the top?". We combine the most-watched Bitcoin cycle and valuation models — Pi Cycle Top, the Rainbow band, Puell Multiple, Golden Ratio, AHR999, the 2-year and 200-week moving averages, Altcoin Season and Fear & Greed — into a single cycle-risk read. No single line calls the top; the edge is seeing several flash red at once. Free, no signup.

Cycle top risk
Where we are in the cycle
Reading the models…

The cycle-risk score blends the valuation models below into a 0–100 gauge. Low = accumulation / early cycle. High = euphoria / distribution zone where tops historically form.

Cycle & valuation models

How to read this dashboard

Pi Cycle Top

Uses the 111-day MA and 2× the 350-day MA. When the fast line crosses above the slow one it has pinpointed Bitcoin cycle tops within days, historically. The card shows how close the two lines are — the closer, the hotter.

Rainbow Chart band

Price against a log-regression rainbow, from "fire sale / accumulate" (blue) up to "maximum bubble / sell" (red). A long-horizon sentiment gauge, not a timing tool — but the top red bands have only ever printed near cycle peaks.

Puell Multiple & AHR999

Puell compares daily miner revenue to its 1-year average — high = late-cycle euphoria, low (green) = generational bottoms. AHR999 blends price with the 200-day cost basis to flag the dollar-cost-average buy zone (below 1.2) versus overvaluation (above 4).

Golden Ratio, 2-Year MA & 200-Week MA

Three long-term reference lines. Price at 1.6–2× the 350-day MA (Golden Ratio) or 5× the 2-year MA has marked tops; touching the 200-week MA has marked cycle bottoms. The cards show price as a multiple of each line.

Altcoin Season & BTC Dominance

Altcoin Season Index tells you if capital has rotated out of Bitcoin into alts (75+ = altseason). Rising dominance = Bitcoin leading; falling dominance late in a cycle often precedes the blow-off alt phase.

Fear & Greed

Crowd sentiment from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). Extreme greed clusters near local tops; extreme fear near bottoms. Best used to confirm the slower models above.

Cycle models aggregated from Coinglass. For information only — not financial advice. No indicator predicts the future.